Risk stratification of patients with acute chest pain and normal troponin concentrations.

Abstract

To investigate the outcome of patients with acute chest pain and normal troponin concentrations. Prospective cohort design. Single centre study in a teaching hospital in Spain. 609 consecutive patients with chest pain evaluated in the emergency department by clinical history (risk factors and a chest pain score according to pain characteristics), ECG, and early (< 24 hours) exercise testing for low risk patients with physical capacity (n = 283, 46%). All had normal troponin concentrations after serial determination. Myocardial infarction or cardiac death during six months of follow up. 29 events were detected (4.8%). No patient with a negative early exercise test (n = 161) had events versus the 6.9% event rate in the remaining patients (p = 0.0001). Four independent predictors were found: chest pain score > or = 11 points (odds ratio (OR) 2.4, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.1 to 5.5, p = 0.04), diabetes mellitus (OR 2.3, 95% CI 1.1 to 4.7, p = 0.03), previous coronary surgery (OR 3.1, 95% CI 1.3 to 7.6, p = 0.01), and ST segment depression (OR 2.8, 95% CI 1.3 to 6.3, p = 0.003). A risk score proved useful for patient stratification according to the presence of 0-1 (2.7% event rate), 2 (10.2%, p = 0.008), and 3-4 predictors (29.2%, p = 0.0001). A negative troponin result does not assure a good prognosis for patients coming to the emergency room with chest pain. Early exercise testing and clinical data should be carefully evaluated for risk stratification.