A continuous climatic impact on Holocene human population in the Rocky Mountains.

Kelly, Robert L; Surovell, Todd A; Shuman, Bryan N; Smith, Geoffrey M · Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A · 2013

other · Level V

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Abstract

Ancient cultural changes have often been linked to abrupt climatic events, but the potential that climate can exert a persistent influence on human populations has been debated. Here, independent population, temperature, and moisture history reconstructions from the Bighorn Basin in Wyoming (United States) show a clear quantitative relationship spanning 13 ka, which explains five major periods of population growth/decline and ~45% of the population variance. A persistent ~300-y lag in the human demographic response conforms with either slow (~0.3%) intrinsic annual population growth rates or a lag in the environmental carrying capacity, but in either case, the population continuously adjusted to changing environmental conditions.

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