Predictive value of the HAS-BLED score for the risk of recurrent intracranial hemorrhage after first spontaneous intracranial hemorrhage.

Abstract

Patients who survive intracranial hemorrhage (ICH) are at high risk of recurrence. The Hypertension, Abnormal Renal/Liver Function, Stroke, Bleeding History or Predisposition, Labile INR, Elderly (Age >65 years), Drugs/Alcohol Concomitantly (HAS-BLED) score has recently been developed to assess bleeding risk. This observational study was aimed to investigate the prognostic performance of the HAS-BLED score in predicting recurrent ICH. Consecutive patients (434) with a first spontaneous ICH who were not prescribed antiplatelet or anticoagulation therapy (59.8 ± 15.3 years; men, 62.3%) were recruited. Most patients (71.6%) had a HAS-BLED score of >1. After a follow-up of 52.7 months, there were 42 ICH recurrences (2.25 per 100 patient-years). The risk of ICH recurrence increased with HAS-BLED score. Specifically, the risk of ICH recurrence with HAS-BLED score of 1, 2, 3, and 4 were 1.37, 2.38, 3.39, and 2.90 per 100 patient-years, respectively. The sensitivity and specificity of HAS-BLED was 79.1% and 29.2%, respectively, with C-statistic of 0.54 (0.50-0.59). This study provided data on the risk of ICH recurrence stratified using the HAS-BLED score in patients after an ICH.