Statistical Analysis of the Exchange Rate of Bitcoin.

Chu, Jeffrey; Nadarajah, Saralees; Chan, Stephen · PLoS One · 2015

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Abstract

Bitcoin, the first electronic payment system, is becoming a popular currency. We provide a statistical analysis of the log-returns of the exchange rate of Bitcoin versus the United States Dollar. Fifteen of the most popular parametric distributions in finance are fitted to the log-returns. The generalized hyperbolic distribution is shown to give the best fit. Predictions are given for future values of the exchange rate.

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