High nodal positivity rates even in good clinical responders after chemoradiation of rectal cancer: is organ preservation feasible?

Abstract

Local excision (LE) is emerging as a treatment option for rectal cancer responding well to chemoradiation. However, it does not address the mesorectal nodal burden. We aimed to identify the factors influencing nodal positivity and subsequently defined a low-risk group by including only patients at low risk. A single-centre, retrospective database analysis was carried out of patients with radically resected rectal cancer after neoadjuvant chemoradiation. This study included 524 patients with predominantly low rectal tumours. Nodal positivity among ypT0, T1 and T2 groups was 14.7%, 28% and 30%, respectively. Multivariate analysis with stepwise logistic regression identified the following low-risk features: age ≥ 40 years, nonsignet ring cell carcinoma (SRCC) histology and pathological complete response (pCR). Sixty-nine patients fulfilling all three criteria were analysed and the nodal positivity was found to be 10.1%, which implies that, if these patients had been selected for LE, one in 10 would have had positive mesorectal nodes. Even in patients with low-risk criteria (pCR, non-SRCC histology and age ≥ 40 years), the residual positive nodal disease burden is 10%. Whether this high incidence of residual nodal disease translates into a similar risk of locoregional recurrence if an organ-preservation strategy is adopted is unclear.