Mathematical modeling of the West Africa Ebola epidemic.
review · Level V
Where this comes from
- Record sourced from PubMed, PMID 26646185.
- Also identified by DOI 10.7554/eLife.09186 and PMC identifier 4769159.
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Abstract
As of November 2015, the Ebola virus disease (EVD) epidemic that began in West Africa in late 2013 is waning. The human toll includes more than 28,000 EVD cases and 11,000 deaths in Guinea, Liberia, and Sierra Leone, the most heavily-affected countries. We reviewed 66 mathematical modeling studies of the EVD epidemic published in the peer-reviewed literature to assess the key uncertainties models addressed, data used for modeling, public sharing of data and results, and model performance. Based on the review, we suggest steps to improve the use of modeling in future public health emergencies.
Medical subject headings
- Epidemics
- Epidemiologic Methods
- Hemorrhagic Fever, Ebola
- Models, Theoretical