Prediction of radioactive iodine remnant ablation failure in patients with differentiated thyroid cancer: A cohort study of 740 patients.

Abstract

The purpose of this study was to detect parameters that could serve as predictors of radioactive iodine (I-131) ablation failure in patients with low-risk and intermediate-risk differentiated thyroid carcinoma (DTC). Our cohort study included 740 patients with DTC who received postoperative I-131 remnant ablation. Anthropometric, biochemical, and pathohistological parameters were analyzed and correlated with ablation outcome using multivariable logistic regression models. Treatment failure rates were higher in patients <53 years, with N1a classification, and lymph node capsular invasion. In patients with N1a disease, thyroglobulin (Tg) > 2.4 ng/mL predicted treatment failure with 93.8% sensitivity and 52.5% specificity, and in patients with N1b disease, Tg > 14.9 ng/mL with 77.8% sensitivity and 92.9% specificity. I-131 activity was not associated with treatment outcome. Patients < 53 years old, with higher Tg levels, N1a classification, and lymph node capsular invasion have a higher risk of ablation failure. Stimulated Tg is an excellent predictor of treatment failure in patients with N1 disease. © 2016 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Head Neck 39: 109-115, 2017.