A Power-Law Growth and Decay Model with Autocorrelation for Posting Data to Social Networking Services.
Where this comes from
- Record sourced from PubMed, PMID 27505155.
- Also identified by DOI 10.1371/journal.pone.0160592 and PMC identifier 4978406.
- Licence recorded as CC BY.
- The licence permits redistribution, so the abstract is shown in full and the full text is available from the publisher.
Abstract
We propose a power-law growth and decay model for posting data to social networking services before and after social events. We model the time series structure of deviations from the power-law growth and decay with a conditional Poisson autoregressive (AR) model. Online postings related to social events are described by five parameters in the power-law growth and decay model, each of which characterizes different aspects of interest in the event. We assess the validity of parameter estimates in terms of confidence intervals, and compare various submodels based on likelihoods and information criteria.
Medical subject headings
- Models, Statistical
- Social Networking
- Statistics as Topic