Atmospheric fine particulate matter and breast cancer mortality: a population-based cohort study.

Tagliabue, Giovanna; Borgini, Alessandro; Tittarelli, Andrea; van Donkelaar, Aaron; Martin, Randall V; Bertoldi, Martina; Fabiano, Sabrina; Maghini, Anna et al. · BMJ Open · 2016

prospective_cohort · Level II

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Abstract

Atmospheric fine particulate matter (PM<sub>2.5</sub>) has multiple adverse effects on human health. Global atmospheric levels of PM<sub>2.5</sub> increased by 0.55 μg/m<sup>3</sup>/year (2.1%/year) from 1998 through 2012. There is evidence of a causal relationship between atmospheric PM<sub>2.5</sub> and breast cancer (BC) incidence, but few studies have investigated BC mortality and atmospheric PM<sub>2.5</sub>. We investigated BC mortality in relation to atmospheric PM<sub>2.5</sub> levels among patients living in Varese Province, northern Italy. We selected female BC cases, archived in the local population-based cancer registry, diagnosed at age 50-69 years, between 2003 and 2009. The geographic coordinates of each woman's place of residence were identified, and individual PM<sub>2.5</sub> exposures were assessed from satellite data. Grade, stage, age at diagnosis, period of diagnosis and participation in BC screening were potential confounders. Kaplan-Meir and Nelson-Aalen methods were used to test for mortality differences in relation to PM<sub>2.5</sub> quartiles. Multivariable Cox proportional hazards modelling estimated HRs and 95% CIs of BC death in relation to PM<sub>2.5</sub> exposure. Of 2021 BC cases, 325 died during follow-up to 31 December 2013, 246 for BC. Risk of BC death was significantly higher for all three upper quartiles of PM<sub>2.5</sub> exposure compared to the lowest, with HRs of death: 1.82 (95% CI 1.15 to 2.89), 1.73 (95% CI 1.12 to 2.67) and 1.72 (95% CI 1.08 to 2.75). Our study indicates that the risk of BC mortality increases with PM<sub>2.5</sub> exposure. Although additional research is required to confirm these findings, they are further evidence that PM<sub>2.5</sub> exposure is harmful and indicate an urgent need to improve global air quality.

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