Coalescing colony model: Mean-field, scaling, and geometry.

Abstract

We analyze the coalescing model where a 'primary' colony grows and randomly emits secondary colonies that spread and eventually coalesce with it. This model describes population proliferation in theoretical ecology, tumor growth, and is also of great interest for modeling urban sprawl. Assuming the primary colony to be always circular of radius r(t) and the emission rate proportional to r(t)^{θ}, where θ>0, we derive the mean-field equations governing the dynamics of the primary colony, calculate the scaling exponents versus θ, and compare our results with numerical simulations. We then critically test the validity of the circular approximation for the colony shape and show that it is sound for a constant emission rate (θ=0). However, when the emission rate is proportional to the perimeter, the circular approximation breaks down and the roughness of the primary colony cannot be discarded, thus modifying the scaling exponents.