Climate as a risk factor for armed conflict.
expert_opinion · Level V
Where this comes from
- Record sourced from PubMed, PMID 31189956.
- Also identified by DOI 10.1038/s41586-019-1300-6.
- No licence information is recorded for this record.
- Because redistribution is not established, this page shows the abstract only. Follow the links below for the full text.
Abstract
Research findings on the relationship between climate and conflict are diverse and contested. Here we assess the current understanding of the relationship between climate and conflict, based on the structured judgments of experts from diverse disciplines. These experts agree that climate has affected organized armed conflict within countries. However, other drivers, such as low socioeconomic development and low capabilities of the state, are judged to be substantially more influential, and the mechanisms of climate-conflict linkages remain a key uncertainty. Intensifying climate change is estimated to increase future risks of conflict.
Medical subject headings
- Armed Conflicts
- Climate