Caution Warranted: Using the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation Model for Predicting the Course of the COVID-19 Pandemic.
editorial · Level V
Where this comes from
- Record sourced from PubMed, PMID 32289150.
- Also identified by DOI 10.7326/M20-1565 and PMC identifier 7197035.
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Abstract
The Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation model for predicting the course of the coronavirus disease 2019 pandemic has attracted considerable attention, including from the U.S. government. The appearance of certainty of model estimates is seductive when the world is desperate to know what lies ahead, but caution is warranted regarding the validity and usefulness of the model projections for policymakers.
Medical subject headings
- Coronavirus Infections
- Forecasting
- Pneumonia, Viral