Simplicity lacks robustness when projecting heat-health outcomes in a changing climate.

Vanos, Jennifer K; Baldwin, Jane W; Jay, Ollie; Ebi, Kristie L · Nat Commun · 2020

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Abstract

Extreme heat adversely affects human health, productivity, and well-being, with more frequent and intense heatwaves projected to increase exposures. However, current risk projections oversimplify critical inter-individual factors of human thermoregulation, resulting in unreliable and unrealistic estimates of future adverse health outcomes.

Medical subject headings