Lactate and hypotension as predictors of mortality after in-hospital cardiac arrest.

Abstract

Guidance on post-cardiac arrest prognostication is largely based on data from out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA), despite clear differences between the OHCA and in-hospital cardiac arrest (IHCA) populations. Early prediction of mortality after IHCA would be useful to help make decisions about post-arrest care. We evaluated the ability of lactate and need for vasopressors after IHCA to predict hospital mortality. Single center retrospective observational study of adult IHCA patients who achieved sustained return of spontaneous circulation (ROSC), required mechanical ventilation peri-arrest and had a lactate checked within 2 h after ROSC. We evaluated the association of post-ROSC lactate and need for vasopressors with mortality using multivariate logistic regression. A total of 364 patients were included. Patients who received vasopressors within 3 h after ROSC had significantly higher mortality compared to patients who did not receive vasopressors (58% vs. 43%, p = 0.03). Elevated lactate level was associated with mortality (44% if lactate <5 mmol/L, 58% if lactate 5-10 mmol/L, and 73% if lactate >10 mmol/L, p < 0.01). A multivariable model with lactate group and post-ROSC vasopressor use as predictors demonstrated moderate discrimination (AUC 0.64 [95%CI:0.59-0.70]). Including other variables, the most parsimonious model included lactate, age, body mass index, race, and history of arrhythmia, cancer and/or liver disease (AUC 0.70 [95% CI: 0.64-0.75]). Post-ROSC lactate and need for vasopressors may be helpful in stratifying mortality risk in patients requiring mechanical ventilation after IHCA.