On collaborative reinforcement learning to optimize the redistribution of critical medical supplies throughout the COVID-19 pandemic.

Bednarski, Bryan P; Singh, Akash Deep; Jones, William M · J Am Med Inform Assoc · 2021

other · Level V

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Abstract

This work investigates how reinforcement learning and deep learning models can facilitate the near-optimal redistribution of medical equipment in order to bolster public health responses to future crises similar to the COVID-19 pandemic. The system presented is simulated with disease impact statistics from the Institute of Health Metrics, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, and Census Bureau. We present a robust pipeline for data preprocessing, future demand inference, and a redistribution algorithm that can be adopted across broad scales and applications. The reinforcement learning redistribution algorithm demonstrates performance optimality ranging from 93% to 95%. Performance improves consistently with the number of random states participating in exchange, demonstrating average shortage reductions of 78.74 ± 30.8% in simulations with 5 states to 93.50 ± 0.003% with 50 states. These findings bolster confidence that reinforcement learning techniques can reliably guide resource allocation for future public health emergencies.

Medical subject headings