Long-Term Risk of Major Adverse Cardiac Events in Atrial Fibrillation Patients on Direct Oral Anticoagulants.

Abstract

To determine the association between direct oral anticoagulant (DOAC) use and risk of major adverse cardiac events (MACEs) in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF). This study is a single-center prospective observational cohort study including 2366 outpatients with non-valvular AF on treatment with DOACs or vitamin K antagonists (VKAs) from February 2008 for patients on VKA and September 2013 for patients on novel oral anticoagulants. The primary endpoint was the incidence of MACE including fatal and non-fatal myocardial infarction (MI), cardiac revascularization, and cardiovascular death. The mean age was 75.1±9.0 years; 44.7% were women. During a mean follow-up of 33.3±21.9 months (6567 patients/years) 133 MACEs occurred (2.03%/year): 79 MI/cardiac revascularization and 54 cardiovascular deaths. Of these, 101 were on VKAs (2.42%/year) and 32 on DOACs (1.34%/year; log-rank test P=.040). This difference was evident also considering MI alone (1.53%/year and 0.63%/year in the VKA and DOAC group, respectively, log-rank test P=.009). At multivariable Cox proportional hazard regression analysis, use of DOACs was associated with a lower risk of MACE (hazard ratio, 0.636; 95% CI, 0.417 to 0.970; P=.036) and MI (hazard ratio, 0.497; 95% CI, 0.276 to 0.896; p=.020). Sensitivity analysis showed that this association was consistent in younger patients (<75 years), in patients with anemia, and in those without chronic obstructive pulmonary disease and heart failure. We also found that both dabigatran and apixaban/rivaroxaban were associated with a lower rate of MACE, with similar efficacy between full and low doses. DOACs are associated with a lower risk of MACE in patients with AF independently from dosage.