Prognostic value of NT-proBNP and CA125 across glomerular filtration rate categories in acute heart failure.

Abstract

This study aimed to evaluate whether glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) during admission modifies the predictive value of plasma amino-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) and carbohydrate antigen 125 (CA125) in patients hospitalized for acute heart failure (AHF). We retrospectively evaluated 4595 patients consecutively discharged after admission for AHF at three tertiary-care hospitals from January 2008 through October 2019. To investigate the effect of kidney function on the association of NT-proBNP and CA125 with 1-year mortality (all-cause and cardiovascular mortality), we stratified patients according to four eGFR categories: <30 mL•min^-1•1.73 m^-2, 30-44 mL•min^-1•1.73 m^-2, 44-59 mL•min^-1•1.73 m^-2, and ≥60 mL•min^-1•1.73 m^-2. Biomarkers were assessed within the first 24 hours following admission. At 1-year follow-up, 748 of 4595 (16.3%) patients died after discharge (of all deaths, 575 [12.5%] were cardiovascular). After multivariate adjustment, both NT-proBNP and CA125 remained independently associated with a higher risk of death when modeled as main effects (P<0.001). However, we found a differential prognostic effect of NT-proBNP across eGFR categories for both endpoints (all-cause mortality, P-value for interaction=0.002; CV mortality, P-value for interaction=0.001). Whereas NT-proBNP was positively and linearly associated with mortality in the subset of patients with normal or mildly reduced eGFR, its predictive ability progressively decreased at the lower extreme of eGFR (<45 mL•min^-1•1.73 m^-2). In contrast, the association between CA125 and survival remained consistent across all eGFR categories (all-cause mortality, P-value for interaction=0.559; CV mortality, P-value for interaction=0.855). In patients with AHF and severely reduced eGFR, CA125 outperforms NT-proBNP in predicting 1-year mortality.