Detection and potential early warning of catastrophic flow events with regional seismic networks.

Cook, Kristen L; Rekapalli, Rajesh; Dietze, Michael; Pilz, Marco; Cesca, Simone; Rao, N Purnachandra; Srinagesh, D; Paul, Himangshu et al. · Science · 2021

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Abstract

Early warning is a critical potential tool for mitigating the impacts of large mass wasting and flood events, a major hazard in the Himalaya. We used data from a dense seismic network in Uttarakhand, India, to detect and track a fatal rockslide to mass flow to flood cascade and examine the potential for regional networks to provide early warning for extreme flow events. Detection limits of the 7 February 2021 event depend on the nature of the active process and on the anthropogenic and environmental seismic noise levels at each station. With the existing network, a seismic monitoring system could have detected all event phases from up to 100 kilometers and provided downstream warnings within minutes of event initiation.