A Novel CT-based Radiomics-Clinical Nomogram for the Prediction of Short-Term Prognosis in Deep Intracerebral Hemorrhage.

Abstract

To develop and validate a radiomics-clinical nomogram for the prediction of short-term prognosis in patients with deep intracerebral hemorrhage (DICH) on admission. A total of 326 patients with DICH (development cohort = 187; testing cohort = 81; validation cohort = 58) were retrospectively included. Radiomics features were extracted from computed tomography (CT) images and optimal features were selected using least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression. A radiomics score (R-score) was developed using the optimal features. Univariate and multivariate analyses were used to determine independent risk factors for poor outcomes at 30 days. A radiomics-clinical (R-C) nomogram was developed and validated in the three cohorts. Receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC), calibration curve and decision curve analyses were conducted to evaluate the performances of the R-C nomogram. Only 4 of 396 radiomics features were selected to develop R-scores. Age, onset-to-CT time, Glasgow Coma Scale score, midline shift, and R-score were detected as independent predictors of poor prognosis of DICH. The R-C nomogram was developed by the independent predictors and showed acceptable discrimination with areas under ROCs of 0.80, 0.79, and 0.70 in the development, testing and validation cohorts, respectively. The R-C nomogram showed good agreement between the predicted probability and the actual probability (all P > 0.05) and clinical applicability in each cohort. The R-C nomogram is a stable and effective tool for predicting the short-term prognosis of DICH, which may help clinicians perform individual risk assessments and make decisions for patients with DICH.