Predictive factors for mortality after distal femoral fractures in the elderly: A retrospective multicenter (TRON group) study.

Abstract

This retrospective multicenter study aimed to assess the 1-year mortality rate in elderly patients with distal femoral fractures (DFFs) and identify potential risk factors for mortality. We analyzed 321 patients aged 65 years and older with DFFs treated surgically between 2012 and 2019 in 13 hospitals. Patient demographics and surgical characteristics were extracted from medical records and radiographs. We used univariable and multivariable Cox regression analyses to identify the factors affecting mortality. The mortality rate for DFFs in elderly patients at 1 year was 9.0%. Multivariable Cox regression analysis revealed older age, male sex, underweight (body mass index [BMI] <18.5 kg/m²), bedridden status, and nursing home residency to be independent predictors for mortality (older age: hazard ratio [HR] 1.07, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.03-1.11, P<0.001; male sex: HR 3.08, 95% CI 1.23-7.71, P=0.015; underweight: HR 1.93, 95% CI 1.01-3.68, P=0.045; bedridden status: HR 4.59, 95% CI 1.61-13.07, P=0.0042; and nursing home residency: HR 2.63, 95% CI 1.18-5.83, P=0.017). None of the factors associated with surgery including types of fixation, time from initial visit to surgery, blood loss during operation, and operation time was an independent predictor for mortality. The 1-year mortality rate in elderly patients with DFFs was relatively low at 9.0%. Older age, lower BMI, and nursing home residency were associated with mortality after surgery for DFFs. Factors associated with the surgical procedure were not significant predictors.