Blood Glucose Level Prediction: Advanced Deep-Ensemble Learning Approach.

Abstract

Optimal and sustainable control of blood glucose levels (BGLs) is the aim of type-1 diabetes management. The automated prediction of BGL using machine learning (ML) algorithms is considered as a promising tool that can support this aim. In this context, this paper proposes new advanced ML architectures to predict BGL leveraging deep learning and ensemble learning. The deep-ensemble models are developed with novel meta-learning approaches, where the feasibility of changing the dimension of a univariate time series forecasting task is investigated. The models are evaluated regression-wise and clinical-wise. The performance of the proposed ensemble models are compared with benchmark non-ensemble models. The results show the superior performance of the developed ensemble models over developed non-ensemble benchmark models and also show the efficacy of the proposed meta-learning approaches.