Reduced trolling on Russian holidays and daily US Presidential election odds.
Where this comes from
- Record sourced from PubMed, PMID 35353827.
- Also identified by DOI 10.1371/journal.pone.0264507 and PMC identifier 8966999.
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Abstract
Russian trolls generally supported the Trump campaign and were particularly active on Twitter 2015-2017. We find that trolling fell 35% on Russian holidays and to a lesser extent, when temperatures were cold in St. Petersburg. Exogenous variation in trolling by day allows us to consider indirectly-affected political behaviors in the US-outcomes that are less traceable via tweet sharing but potentially more important to policymakers than the direct dissemination previously studied. As a case in point, we describe reduced form evidence that Russian holidays affected daily trading prices in 2016 election betting markets. This response is consistent with successful Russian interference in support of Trump.
Medical subject headings
- Gambling
- Holidays