Can the 5-item Modified Frailty Index Predict Outcomes in Geriatric Trauma? A National Database Study.

Abstract

Frailty results in increased vulnerability to adverse outcomes following trauma. We investigated the association between the 5-item modified frailty index (mFI-5) and outcomes in geriatric trauma patients. The 2011-2016 Trauma Quality Improvement Program database was used to study outcomes in patients ≥ 65 years old. The mFI-5 was measured and categorized into no frailty (mFI-5 = 0), moderate frailty (mFI-5 = 0.2), and severe frailty (mFI-5 ≥ 0.4). Multivariable logistic regression analyses were performed to identify independent factors of mortality and complications. 26,963 cases met the inclusion criteria, of whom 25.5% were not frail, 38% were moderately frail, and 36.6% were severely frail. Mean age (± SD) was 76 ± 7 years, 61.5% were male, and 97.8% sustained blunt injuries. Median Injury Severity Score (ISS) was 17 (IQR = 10-26), and the median Glasgow Coma Scale was 15 (IQR = 12-15). Overall mortality was 30.6%. Factors independently associated with mortality were age (OR = 1.07 per year, 95%CI 1.06-1.07), blunt trauma (OR = 1.44, 95%CI 1.19 -1.75), ISS (OR = 1.04 per unit increase in ISS, 95%CI 1.03-1.04), and severe frailty (OR = 1.23, 95%CI 1.15-1.32). Interestingly, male sex and GCS appeared to be protective factors with OR of 0.88 (95%CI 0.83 - 0.93) and 0.89 per point change in GCS (95%CI 0.88-0.9), respectively. Moderate (OR = 1.27, 95%CI 1.19-1.25) and severe frailty (OR = 1.49, 95%CI 1.-1.59) were significantly associated with in-hospital complications. Moderate and severe frailty were significant predictors of complications. Only severe frailty was associated with short-term mortality. The mFI-5 can be used as an objective measure to stratify risks in geriatric trauma.