Population-Level Impact and Cost-effectiveness of Continuous Glucose Monitoring and Intermittently Scanned Continuous Glucose Monitoring Technologies for Adults With Type 1 Diabetes in Canada: A Modeling Study.

Abstract

Maintaining healthy glucose levels is critical for the management of type 1 diabetes (T1D), but the most efficacious and cost-effective approach (capillary self-monitoring of blood glucose [SMBG] or continuous [CGM] or intermittently scanned [isCGM] glucose monitoring) is not clear. We modeled the population-level impact of these three glucose monitoring systems on diabetes-related complications, mortality, and cost-effectiveness in adults with T1D in Canada. We used a Markov cost-effectiveness model based on nine complication states for adults aged 18-64 years with T1D. We performed the cost-effectiveness analysis from a single-payer health care system perspective over a 20-year horizon, assuming a willingness-to-pay threshold of CAD 50,000 per quality-adjusted life-year (QALY). Primary outcomes were the number of complications and deaths and the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) of CGM and isCGM relative to SMBG. An initial cohort of 180,000 with baseline HbA1c of 8.1% was used to represent all Canadians aged 18-64 years with T1D. Universal SMBG use was associated with ∼11,200 people (6.2%) living without complications and ∼89,400 (49.7%) deaths after 20 years. Universal CGM use was associated with an additional ∼7,400 (4.1%) people living complications free and ∼11,500 (6.4%) fewer deaths compared with SMBG, while universal isCGM use was associated with ∼3,400 (1.9%) more people living complications free and ∼4,600 (2.6%) fewer deaths. Relative to SMBG, CGM and isCGM had ICERs of CAD 35,017/QALY and 17,488/QALY, respectively. Universal use of CGM or isCGM in the Canadian T1D population is anticipated to reduce diabetes-related complications and mortality at an acceptable cost-effectiveness threshold.