Predictive value of a novel sub-item mortality risk score derived from the Norfolk Quality of Life in Diabetic Neuropathy questionnaire in Romanian participants with diabetes mellitus.

Abstract

To evaluate whether the Norfolk Quality of Life in Diabetic Neuropathy (QOL-DN) questionnaire and the novel Norfolk Mortality Risk Score (NMRS), comprising Norfolk QOL-DN items, can identify 4-year mortality risk in individuals with diabetes. Of 21,756 adults completing Norfolk QOL-DN in 2012, two groups of surviving and deceased patients were identified in 2016: Group 1, from a county capital and Group 2, from six small cities. NMRS was calculated in Group 1 using the 2012 scores of Norfolk QOL-DN items that discriminate between deceased and surviving participants (p < 0.05) and was subsequently applied to Group 2. 763 participants were included (Group 1: 481 [450 surviving, 31 deceased]; Group 2: 282 [218 surviving, 64 deceased]). Total Norfolk QOL-DN score was significantly higher (worse) in deceased participants than in survivors in both groups (p ≤ 0.008). Optimal cut-off for the 25-item NMRS was 11.5 in Group 1. Individuals in Groups 1 and 2 with NMRS≥ 11.5 in 2012 had a 4-year mortality risk ratio of 4.24 (95 % confidence interval [CI]: 1.65-10.84) and 2.33 (95 % CI: 1.33-4.07), respectively, corresponding to 8 and 16 additional deaths/100 persons/4 years (p = 0.001). Norfolk QOL-DN and NMRS can identify individuals with diabetes at risk of 4-year mortality.