Autonomic markers of extubation readiness in premature infants.

Hoffman, Suma B; Govindan, Rathinaswamy B; Johnston, Elena K; Williams, Jordan; Schlatterer, Sarah D; du Plessis, Adre J · Pediatr Res · 2023

retrospective_cohort · Level III

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Abstract

In premature infants, extubation failure is common and difficult to predict. Heart rate variability (HRV) is a marker of autonomic tone. Our aim is to test the hypothesis that autonomic impairment is associated with extubation readiness. Retrospective study of 89 infants <28 weeks. HRV metrics 24 h prior to extubation were compared for those with and without extubation success within 72 h. Receiver-operating curve analysis was conducted to determine the predictive ability of each metric, and a predictive model was created. Seventy-three percent were successfully extubated. The success group had significantly lower oxygen requirement, higher sympathetic HRV metrics, and a lower parasympathetic HRV metric. α<sub>1</sub> (measure of autocorrelation, related to sympathetic tone) was the best predictor of success-area under the curve (AUC) of .73 (p = 0.001), and incorporated into a predictive model had an AUC of 0.81 (p < 0.0001)-sensitivity of 81% and specificity of 78%. Extubation success is associated with HRV. We show an autonomic imbalance with low sympathetic and elevated parasympathetic tone in those who failed. α<sub>1</sub>, a marker of sympathetic tone, was noted to be the best predictor of extubation success especially when incorporated into a clinical model. This article depicts autonomic markers predictive of extubation success. We depict an autonomic imbalance in those who fail extubation with heightened parasympathetic and blunted sympathetic signal. We describe a predictive model for extubation success with a sensitivity of 81% and specificity of 78%.

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