Multicentric validation of a prognostic tool for predicting brain death following out-of-hospital cardiac arrest in children.

Abstract

Out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) in pediatric patients is associated with high rates of mortality and neurologic injury, with no definitive evidence-based method to predict outcomes available. A prognostic scoring tool for adults, The Brain Death After Cardiac Arrest (BDCA) score, was recently developed and validated. We aimed to validate this score in pediatric patients. Retrospective cohort study of pediatric patients admitted to 5 PICUs after OHCA between 2011 and 2021. We extracted BDCA score elements for those who survived at least 24 hours but died as a result of their OHCA. We assessed score discrimination for the definitive outcome of brain death. Subgroup analysis was performed for infants < 12mo versus children ≥ 12mo, those who likely had brain death but had withdrawal of life sustaining therapy (WLST) prior to declaration, and by etiology and duration of arrest. 389 subjects were identified across 5 institutions, with 282 meeting inclusion criteria. 169 (59.9%) were formally declared brain dead; 58 (20.6%) had findings consistent with brain death but had withdrawal of life sustaining therapies prior to completion of formal declaration. Area under the receiver operating characteristic curve for the age ≥ 12mo cohort was 0.82 [95% CI 0.75, 0.90], which mirrored the adult subject AUCs of 0.82 [0.77, 0.86] and 0.81 [0.76, 0.86] in the development and validation cohorts. Scores demonstrated worse discrimination in the infant cohort (AUC = 0.61). The BDCA score shows promise in children ≥ 12mo following OHCA and may be considered in conjunction with existing multimodal prognostication approaches.