The prognostic value of preoperative systemic inflammation-based scoring in patients undergoing endovascular repair of abdominal aortic aneurysm.

Abstract

Abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) is a common condition that is predominantly managed in the United Kingdom by endovascular aneurysm repair (EVAR). Activation of the systemic inflammatory response (SIR) appears to offer prognostic value in patients with vascular disease. The present study examines the relationship between the SIR and survival in patients undergoing standard and complex endovascular aneurysm repair (EVAR and fenestrated/branched [F/B]-EVAR). Consecutive patients undergoing elective EVAR and F/B-EVAR were retrospectively identified from three tertiary vascular centers over a 5-year period. Neutrophil:lymphocyte ratio and modified Glasgow Prognostic Score were calculated from preoperative blood results and combined into the systemic inflammatory grade (SIG). The primary outcome was all-cause mortality during the follow-up period, which was compared between subgroups of SIGs. There were 506 patients included in the final study, with a median follow-up of 68.0 months (interquartile range, 27.3 months), and there were 163 deaths during the follow-up period. Mean survival in the SIG 0 vs SIG 1 vs SIG 2 vs SIG 3 vs SIG 4 subgroups was 80.7 months (95% confidence interval [CI], 76.5-85.0 months) vs 78.7 months (95% CI, 72.7-84.7 months) vs 61.0 months (95% CI, 51.1-70.8 months) vs 65.1 months (95% CI, 45.0-85.2 months) vs 54.9 months (95% CI, 34.4-75.3 months) (P < .05). In the entire cohort, age (P < .001), body mass index (P < .05), high creatinine (P < .05), and SIG (P < .05) were associated with survival on univariate analysis, with retained independent association for age (hazard ratio, 1.72; 95% CI, 1.29-2.31; P < .001) and SIG (hazard ratio, 1.20; 95% CI, 1.02-1.40; P < .05) on multivariate analysis. Increasing SIG (area under the curve, 0.68; 95% CI, 0.58-0.78; P < .01) predicted 1-year mortality. Markers of the SIR such the SIG may be used to identify patients at higher risk of adverse outcome in patients undergoing EVAR and F/B-EVAR for abdominal aortic aneurysms. These findings warrant further investigation in large prospective cohort studies.