Reversal of trends in global fine particulate matter air pollution.

Li, Chi; van Donkelaar, Aaron; Hammer, Melanie S; McDuffie, Erin E; Burnett, Richard T; Spadaro, Joseph V; Chatterjee, Deepangsu; Cohen, Aaron J et al. · Nat Commun · 2023

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Abstract

Ambient fine particulate matter (PM<sub>2.5</sub>) is the world's leading environmental health risk factor. Quantification is needed of regional contributions to changes in global PM<sub>2.5</sub> exposure. Here we interpret satellite-derived PM<sub>2.5</sub> estimates over 1998-2019 and find a reversal of previous growth in global PM<sub>2.5</sub> air pollution, which is quantitatively attributed to contributions from 13 regions. Global population-weighted (PW) PM<sub>2.5</sub> exposure, related to both pollution levels and population size, increased from 1998 (28.3 μg/m<sup>3</sup>) to a peak in 2011 (38.9 μg/m<sup>3</sup>) and decreased steadily afterwards (34.7 μg/m<sup>3</sup> in 2019). Post-2011 change was related to exposure reduction in China and slowed exposure growth in other regions (especially South Asia, the Middle East and Africa). The post-2011 exposure reduction contributes to stagnation of growth in global PM<sub>2.5</sub>-attributable mortality and increasing health benefits per µg/m<sup>3</sup> marginal reduction in exposure, implying increasing urgency and benefits of PM<sub>2.5</sub> mitigation with aging population and cleaner air.

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