Biologically Effective Dose and Prediction of Obliteration of Arteriovenous Malformations in Pediatric Patients Treated by Gamma Knife Radiosurgery.

Abstract

Stereotactic radiosurgery (SRS) represents an effective treatment for pediatric arteriovenous malformations (AVMs). Biological effective dose (BED) has shown promising results in 2 previous studies as a predictive variable for outcomes in adults, but its role has never been studied in pediatric outcomes. Retrospective data for patients 18 years or younger treated with a single-session SRS for AVMs were collected from 1989 to 2019. BED calculations were performed using an α/β ratio of 2.47. Kaplan-Meier analysis was used to evaluate obliteration, new hemorrhage, and radiation-induced changes (RIC). Cox-regression analysis was used for obliteration prediction using 2 models (margin dose vs BED). One hundred ninety-seven patients (median age = 13.1 years, IQR = 5.2) were included; 72.6% (143/197) of them presented initially with spontaneous hemorrhage. A median margin dose of 22 Gy (IQR = 4.0) with a median BED of 183.2 Gy (IQR = 70.54) was used to treat AVM with a median volume of 2.8 cm 3 (IQR = 2.9). After SRS, obliteration was confirmed in 115/197 patients (58.4%) using magnetic resonance imaging and angiography at a median follow-up of 2.85 years (IQR = 2.26). The cumulative obliteration probability was 43.6% (95% CI = 36.1-50.3), 60.5% (95% CI+ = 2.2-67.4), and 66.0% (95% CI = 56.0-73.7) at 3, 5, and 10 years, respectively. In Cox multivariate analysis, a BED >180 Gy (hazard ratio [HR] = 2.11, 95% CI = 1.30-3.40, P = .002) in model 1 and a margin dose >20 Gy (HR = 1.90, 95% CI = 1.15-3.13, P = .019) in model 2 were associated with obliteration. An AVM nidus volume >4 cm 3 was associated with lower obliteration rates in both models. The probability of symptomatic RIC at 10 years was 8.6% (95% CI = 3.5-13.4). Neither BED nor margin dose was associated with RIC occurrence, with the only predictive factor being deep AVM location (HR = 3, 95% CI = 1-9.1, P = .048). This study confirms BED as a predictor for pediatric AVM obliteration. Optimization of BED in pediatric AVM SRS planning may improve cumulative obliteration rates.