Prevalence of clinical forms of Chagas disease: a systematic review and meta-analysis - data from the RAISE study.

Nascimento, Bruno Ramos; Naback, André Dias Nassar; Santos, Beatriz Marino Pena; Geissbühler, Yvonne; Demacq, Caroline; Quijano, Monica; Perel, Pablo A; Molina, Israel et al. · Lancet Reg Health Am · 2024

meta_analysis · Level I

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Abstract

There is a lack of up-to-date estimates about the prevalence of Chagas disease (ChD) clinical presentations and, therefore, we aimed to assess the prevalence of clinical forms of ChD among seropositive adults, pooling available data. A systematic review was conducted in Medline, Embase, <i>Biblioteca Virtual em Saúde</i> and Cochrane databases looking for studies published from 1990 to August 2023, which investigated the prevalence of ChD clinical forms among seropositive adults, including: (i) indeterminate phase, (ii) chronic Chagas cardiomyopathy (CCM), (iii) digestive and (iv) mixed (CCM + digestive) forms. Pooled estimates and 95% confidence intervals (CI) were calculated using random-effects models. Studies quality and risk of bias was assessed with the Leboeuf-Yde and Lauritsen tool. Heterogeneity was assessed with the I<sup>2</sup> statistic. The study was registered in the PROSPERO database (CRD42022354237). 1246 articles were selected for screening and 73 studies were included in the final analysis (17,132 patients, 44% men). Most studies were conducted with outpatients (n = 50), followed by population-based studies (n = 15). The pooled prevalence of the ChD clinical forms was: indeterminate 42.6% (95% CI: 36.9-48.6), CCM 42.7% (95% CI: 37.3-48.3), digestive 17.7% (95% CI: 14.9-20.9), and mixed 10.2% (95% CI: 7.9-13.2). In population-based studies, prevalence was lower for CCM (31.2%, 95% CI: 24.4-38.9) and higher for indeterminate (47.2%, 95% CI: 39.0-55.5) form. In meta-regression, age was inversely associated with the prevalence of indeterminate (β = -0.05, P < 0.001) form, and directly associated with CCM (β = 0.06, P < 0.001) and digestive (β = 0.02, P < 0.001) forms. Heterogeneity was overall high. Compared to previous publications, our pooled estimates show a higher prevalence of CCM among ChD seropositive patients, but similar rates of the digestive form. This study was funded by the World Heart Federation, through a research collaboration with Novartis Pharma AG.