Reconciling carbon quality with availability predicts temperature sensitivity of global soil carbon mineralization.

Zhang, Shuai; Wang, Mingming; Xiao, Liujun; Guo, Xiaowei; Zheng, Jinyang; Zhu, Biao; Luo, Zhongkui · Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A · 2024

basic_science · Level V

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Abstract

Soil organic carbon (SOC) mineralization is a key component of the global carbon cycle. Its temperature sensitivity Q<sub>10</sub> (which is defined as the factor of change in mineralization with a 10 °C temperature increase) is crucial for understanding the carbon cycle-climate change feedback but remains uncertain. Here, we demonstrate the universal control of carbon quality-availability tradeoffs on Q<sub>10</sub>. When carbon availability is not limited, Q<sub>10</sub> is controlled by carbon quality; otherwise, substrate availability controls Q<sub>10</sub>. A model driven by such quality-availability tradeoffs explains 97% of the spatiotemporal variability of Q<sub>10</sub> in incubations of soils across the globe and predicts a global Q<sub>10</sub> of 2.1 ± 0.4 (mean ± one SD) with higher Q<sub>10</sub> in northern high-latitude regions. We further reveal that global Q<sub>10</sub> is predominantly governed by the mineralization of high-quality carbon. The work provides a foundation for predicting SOC dynamics under climate and land use changes which may alter soil carbon quality and availability.