Paraspinal muscle endurance and morphology (PMEM) score: a new method for prediction of postoperative mechanical complications after lumbar fusion.

Abstract

Although the relationships between paraspinal muscles and lumbar degenerative disorders have been acknowledged, paraspinal muscle evaluation has not been incorporated into clinical therapies. We aimed to establish a novel paraspinal muscle endurance and morphology (PMEM) score to better predict mechanical complications after lumbar fusion. Prospective cohort study. A total of 212 patients undergoing posterior lumbar interbody fusion with at least 1 year of follow-up were finally included. Mechanical complications including screw loosening, pseudarthrosis and other complications like cage subsidence, and patient-reported outcomes were evaluated at last follow-up. The PMEM score comprised 1 functional muscular parameter (the performance time of the endurance test) and 2 imaging muscular parameters (relative functional cross-sectional area [rFCSA] of paraspinal extensor muscles [PEM] and psoas major [PS] on magnetic resonance imaging). The score was established based on a weighted scoring system created by rounding β regression coefficients to the nearest integer in univariate logistic regression. The diagnostic performance of the PMEM score was determined by binary logistic regression model and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve with the area under the curve (AUC). Additionally, pairwise comparisons of ROC curves were conducted to compare the diagnostic performance of the PMEM score with conventional methods based on a single muscular parameter. Moreover, differences of mechanical complications and patient-reported outcomes among the PMEM categories were analyzed using Chi-square test with Bonferroni correction. The PMEM score, calculated by adding the scores for each parameter, ranges from 0 to 5 points. Patients with higher PMEM scores exhibited higher rates of mechanical complications (p<.001). Binary logistic regression revealed that the PMEM score was an independent factor of mechanical complications (p<.001, OR=2.002). Moreover, the AUC of the PMEM score (AUC=0.756) was significantly greater than those of the conventional methods including the endurance test (AUC=0.691, Z=2.036, p<.05), PEM rFCSA (AUC=.690, Z=2.016, p<.05) and PS rFCSA (AUC=0.640, Z=2.771, p<.01). In terms of the PMEM categories, a score of 0-1 was categorized as low-risk muscular state of mechanical complications; 2-3, as moderate; and 4-5, as high-risk state. Moving from the low-risk state to the high-risk state, there was a progressive increase in the rates of mechanical complications (13.8% vs 32.1% vs 72.7%; p<.001), and a decrease in the rates of clinically significant improvement of patient-reported outcomes (all p<.05). The PMEM score might comprehensively evaluate paraspinal muscle degeneration and exhibit greater ability in predicting mechanical complications than the conventional evaluations after lumbar fusion. Surgeons might develop individualized treatment strategy tailored to different muscle degeneration statuses reflected by the PMEM score for decreasing the risk of mechanical complications.