Prediction of tumor regression grade in far-advanced gastric cancer after preoperative immuno-chemotherapy using dual-energy CT-derived extracellular volume fraction.

Abstract

This study examines the effectiveness of dual-energy CT (DECT) delayed-phase extracellular volume (ECV) fraction in predicting tumor regression grade (TRG) in far-advanced gastric cancer (FAGC) patients receiving preoperative immuno-chemotherapy. A retrospective analysis was performed on far-advanced gastric adenocarcinoma patients treated with preoperative immuno-chemotherapy at our institution from August 2019 to March 2023. Patients were categorized based on their TRG into pathological complete response (pCR) and non-pCR groups. ECV was determined using the delayed-phase iodine maps. In addition, tumor iodine densities and standardized iodine ratios were meticulously analyzed using the triple-phase enhanced iodine maps. Univariate analysis with five-fold cross-validation and Spearman correlation determined DECT parameters and clinical indicators association with pCR. The predictive accuracy of these parameters for pCR was evaluated using a weighted logistic regression model with five-fold cross-validation. Of the 88 patients enrolled (mean age 60.8 ± 11.1 years, 63 males), 21 (23.9%) achieved pCR. Univariate analysis indicated ECV's significant role in differentiating between pCR and non-pCR groups (average p value = 0.021). In the logistic regression model, ECV independently predicted pCR with an average odds ratio of 0.911 (95% confidence interval, 0.798-0.994). The model, incorporating ECV, tumor area, and ID_AV (the relative change rate of iodine density from venous phase to arterial phase), showed an average area under curves (AUCs) of 0.780 (0.770-0.791) and 0.766 (0.731-0.800) for the training and validation sets, respectively, in predicting pCR. DECT-derived ECV fraction is a valuable predictor of TRG in FAGC patients undergoing preoperative immuno-chemotherapy. This study demonstrates that DECT-derived extracellular volume fraction is a reliable predictor for pathological complete response in far-advanced gastric cancer patients receiving preoperative immuno-chemotherapy, offering a noninvasive tool for identifying potential treatment beneficiaries.