Insights from a dynamical system approach into the history of atmospheric oxygenation.

Fakhraee, Mojtaba; Planavsky, Noah · Nat Commun · 2024

basic_science · Level V

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Abstract

Atmospheric oxygen levels are traditionally viewed to have been relatively stable throughout Earth's history with several-step increases. Emerging evidence, however, suggests extremely dynamic atmospheric oxygen levels through large swaths of Earth's history. Here, we provide a new perspective on atmospheric oxygen evolution using a dynamical analysis to explore the relative importance of previously proposed feedbacks on the global oxygen and carbon cycles. Our results from a stochastic analysis of oxygen mass balance in this framework suggest there are multiple steady states for atmospheric oxygen, but only three stable states. One stable state under anoxic conditions (<10<sup>-5</sup> present atmospheric level (PAL)), one at low (~10<sup>-3</sup>to 10<sup>-2</sup> PAL), and one near modern value atmospheric oxygen levels. Our findings also suggest two unstable states (tipping points) for atmospheric oxygen: one around 10<sup>-5</sup> and another one around 10<sup>-1</sup> PAL.