Baseline and Longitudinal MRI Markers Associated With 16-Year Mortality in Patients With Cerebral Small Vessel Disease.

Abstract

Information on whether small vessel disease (SVD) reduces life expectancy is limited. Moreover, the excess mortality risk attributed specifically to SVD compared with controls from the general population has not been evaluated. This study aimed to investigate the baseline and progression of MRI markers of SVD associated with mortality in a 16-year follow-up cohort study and to determine the excess long-term mortality risk of patients with SVD. Participants with SVD from the Radboud University Nijmegen Diffusion Tensor and Magnetic Resonance Imaging Cohort (RUN DMC) study (with MRI assessments in 2006, 2011, 2015, and 2020) were followed until their death or December 1, 2021. Adjusted Cox regression analyses and linear mixed-effect regression models were used to investigate the association between MRI markers of SVD and mortality. The excess mortality risk of SVD was calculated by comparing mortality data of the RUN DMC study with the general population matched by sex, age, and calendar year. 200 of 503 (39.9%) participants died during a follow-up period of 15.9 years. Cause of death was available for 182 (91%) participants. Baseline white matter hyperintensity volume (HR 1.3 per 1-SD increase [95% CI 1.1-1.5], <i>p</i> = 0.010), presence of lacunes (1.5 [95% CI 1.1-2.0], <i>p</i> = 0.008), mean diffusivity (HR 1.1 per 1-SD increase [95% CI 1.1-1.2], <i>p</i> = 0.001), and total brain volume (HR 1.5 per 1-SD decrease [95% CI 1.3-1.9], <i>p</i> < 0.001) were associated with all-cause mortality after adjusting for age, sex, and vascular risk factors. Total brain volume decrease over time was associated with all-cause mortality after adjusting for age, sex, and vascular risk factors (HR 1.3 per 1-SD decrease [95% CI 1.1-1.7], <i>p</i> = 0.035), and gray matter volume decrease remained significant after additionally adjusting for its baseline volume (1.3 per 1-SD decrease [1.1-1.6], <i>p</i> = 0.019). Participants with a Fazekas score of 3, presence of lacunes, or lower microstructural integrity had an excess long-term mortality risk (21.8, 15.7, 10.1 per 1,000 person-years, respectively) compared with the general population. Excess long-term mortality risk only exists in patients with severe SVD (Fazekas score of 3, presence of lacunes, or lower microstructural integrity). This could help in assisting clinicians to predict the clinical outcomes of patients with SVD by severity.