Second Primary Cancer Risks After Breast Cancer in <i>BRCA1</i> and <i>BRCA2</i> Pathogenic Variant Carriers.

Allen, Isaac; Hassan, Hend; Walburga, Yvonne; Huntley, Catherine; Loong, Lucy; Rahman, Tameera; Allen, Sophie; Garrett, Alice et al. · J Clin Oncol · 2025

retrospective_cohort · Level III

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Abstract

Second primary cancer (SPC) risks after breast cancer (BC) in <i>BRCA1/BRCA2</i> pathogenic variant (PV) carriers are uncertain. We estimated relative and absolute risks using a novel linkage of genetic testing data to population-scale National Disease Registration Service and Hospital Episode Statistics electronic health records. We followed 25,811 females and 480 males diagnosed with BC and tested for germline <i>BRCA1/BRCA2</i> PVs in NHS Clinical Genetics centers in England between 1995 and 2019 until SPC diagnosis, death, migration, contralateral breast/ovarian surgery plus 1 year, or the 31st of December 2020. We estimated standardized incidence ratios (SIRs) using English population incidences, hazard ratios (HRs) comparing carriers to noncarriers using Cox regression, and Kaplan-Meier 10-year cumulative risks. There were 1,840 <i>BRCA1</i> and 1,750 <i>BRCA2</i> female PV carriers. Compared with population incidences, <i>BRCA1</i> carriers had elevated contralateral BC (CBC; SIR, 15.6 [95% CI, 11.8 to 20.2]), ovarian (SIR, 44.0 [95% CI, 31.4 to 59.9]), combined nonbreast/ovarian (SIR, 2.18 [95% CI, 1.59 to 2.92]), colorectal (SIR, 4.80 [95% CI, 2.62 to 8.05]), and endometrial (SIR, 2.92 [95% CI, 1.07 to 6.35]) SPC risks. <i>BRCA2</i> carriers had elevated CBC (SIR, 7.70 [95% CI, 5.45 to 10.6]), ovarian (SIR, 16.8 [95% CI, 10.3 to 26.0]), pancreatic (SIR, 5.42 [95% CI, 2.09 to 12.5]), and combined nonbreast/ovarian (SIR, 1.68 [95% CI, 1.24 to 2.23]) SPC risks. Compared with females without <i>BRCA1/BRCA2</i> PVs on testing, <i>BRCA1</i> carriers had elevated CBC (HR, 3.60 [95% CI, 2.65 to 4.90]), ovarian (HR, 33.0 [95% CI, 19.1 to 57.1]), combined nonbreast/ovarian (HR, 1.45 [95% CI, 1.05 to 2.01]), and colorectal (HR, 2.93 [95% CI, 1.53 to 5.62]) SPC risks. <i>BRCA2</i> carriers had elevated CBC (HR, 2.40 [95% CI, 1.70 to 3.40]), ovarian (HR, 12.0 [95% CI, 6.70 to 21.5]), and pancreatic (HR, 3.56 [95% CI, 1.34 to 9.48]) SPC risks. Ten-year cumulative CBC, ovarian, and combined nonbreast/ovarian cancer risks were 16%/6.3%/7.8% (<i>BRCA1</i> carriers), 12%/3.0%/6.2% (<i>BRCA2</i> carriers), and 3.6%/0.4%/4.9% (noncarriers). Male <i>BRCA2</i> carriers had higher CBC (HR, 13.1 [95% CI, 1.19 to 146]) and prostate (HR, 5.61 [95% CI, 1.96 to 16.0]) SPC risks than noncarriers. Survivors of BC carrying <i>BRCA1</i> and <i>BRCA2</i> PVs are at high SPC risk. They may benefit from enhanced surveillance and risk-reduction measures.

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