[<sup>68</sup>Ga]Ga-PSMA-11 PET Tumor Volume Predicts Overall Survival of Patients with Metastatic Prostate Cancer Undergoing Taxane-Based Chemotherapy.

Beintner-Skawran, Stephan; Gafita, Andrei; Lorenzini, Theo; Tauber, Robert; Hoberück, Sebastian; Mattana, Francesco; Di Giorgio, Andrea; Miederer, Matthias et al. · J Nucl Med · 2025

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Abstract

Prostate-specific membrane antigen (PSMA) PET has the potential to monitor the response to taxane-based chemotherapy in patients with prostate cancer and shows promise for predicting outcomes and improving response evaluation. This retrospective study aimed to determine the prognostic value of [<sup>68</sup>Ga]Ga-PSMA-11 PET (PSMA PET)-derived quantitative tumor burden parameters for overall survival (OS). <b>Methods:</b> Databases from 6 institutions were screened for patients with prostate cancer who underwent PSMA PET and whose serum prostate-specific antigen (PSA) measurements were recorded at baseline and after completing taxane-based chemotherapy. Tumor segmentation was performed using artificial intelligence-based software, and PSMA PET whole-body quantitative parameters were obtained, including PSMA-positive tumor volume (PSMA-VOL), SUV<sub>max</sub>, and SUV<sub>mean</sub> Univariate Cox regression analyses were used to evaluate the association of whole-body quantitative PSMA parameters and PSA levels with OS. The Harrell concordance index (C-index) was used to determine prognostic accuracy. Optimal cutoffs were determined by maximizing the log-rank statistic. <b>Results:</b> In total, 128 patients were included in the study; 62 (48%) had hormone-sensitive prostate cancer, and 66 (52%) had castration-resistant prostate cancer. At baseline, PSMA-VOL had the highest prognostic value for OS compared with serum PSA, SUV<sub>max</sub>, and SUV<sub>mean</sub> (C-index of 0.88, 0.80, 0.69, and 0.29, respectively), whereas the percentage change in PSA levels had the highest prognostic value during treatment compared with percentage change in PSMA-VOL, SUV<sub>max</sub>, and SUV<sub>mean</sub> (C-index of 0.94, 0.85, 0.90, and 0.85, respectively). <b>Conclusion:</b> Baseline and posttherapeutic PSMA PET quantitative parameters are prognostic for OS after taxane-based chemotherapy in patients with metastatic prostate cancer. Baseline PSMA-VOL had the highest prognostic value for OS, whereas changes in PSA levels outperformed changes in quantitative PSMA PET parameters during treatment.

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