A matter of size: Comparing IV and OLS estimates.

Ciacci, Riccardo · PLoS One · 2025

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Abstract

Sizeable differences between OLS (Ordinary Least Squares) and IV (Instrumental Variables) estimates might be interpreted in the literature as evidence that the instrument is not valid. Yet, to the best of our knowledge, this comparison is carried out using only the OLS coefficient as a benchmark and does not account for statistical measures or information from the OLS regression. This paper establishes a framework where [1]'s methodology might be used to compare objectively OLS and IV estimates. This methodology offers evidence to support or discard IV estimates with respect to the OLS regression.