A place-based assessment of biodiversity intactness in sub-Saharan Africa.

Clements, Hayley S; Biggs, Reinette; De Vos, Alta; Do Linh San, Emmanuel; Hempson, Gareth P; Linden, Birthe; Maritz, Bryan; Monadjem, Ara et al. · Nature · 2026

expert_opinion · Level V

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Abstract

Maintaining biodiversity is central to the sustainable development agenda<sup>1</sup>. However, a lack of context-specific biodiversity information at policy-relevant scales has posed major limitations to decision-makers<sup>2,3</sup>. To address this challenge, we undertook a comprehensive assessment of the biodiversity intactness of sub-Saharan Africa<sup>4</sup> using place-based knowledge of 200 African biodiversity experts<sup>5</sup>. We estimate that the region has on average lost 24% of its pre-colonial and pre-industrial faunal and floral population abundances, ranging from losses of <20% for disturbance-adapted herbaceous plants to 80% for some large mammals. Rwanda and Nigeria are the least intact (<55%), whereas Namibia and Botswana are the most intact (>85%). Notably, most remaining organisms occur in unprotected, relatively untransformed rangelands and natural forests. Losses in biodiversity intactness in the worst-affected biomes are driven by land transformation into cropland in grasslands and fynbos (Mediterranean-type ecosystems), by non-agricultural degradation in forests and by a combination of the two drivers in savannas. This assessment provides decision-makers with multifaceted, contextually appropriate and policy-relevant information on the state of biodiversity in an understudied region of the world. Our approach could be used in other regions, including better-studied localities, to integrate contextual, place-based knowledge into multiscale assessments of biodiversity status and impacts.

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