Deep learning predicts real-world electric vehicle direct current charging profiles and durations.
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Where this comes from
- Record sourced from PubMed, PMID 41350260.
- Also identified by DOI 10.1038/s41467-025-65970-y and PMC identifier 12680626.
- Licence recorded as CC BY.
- The licence permits redistribution, so the abstract is shown in full and the full text is available from the publisher.
Abstract
Accurate prediction of electric vehicle charging profiles and durations is critical for adoption and optimising infrastructure. Direct current fast charging presents complex behaviours shaped by many factors. This work introduces a deep learning framework trained on 909,135 real-world sessions, capable of predicting charging profiles and durations from minimal input with uncertainty estimates. The model initiates predictions from a single point on the power and state-of-charge profile and incrementally refines them as new observations arrive, enabling real-time updates. The model generalises across vehicle types and charging scenarios. It achieves 90% accuracy in predicting charging duration from a single point, and 95% accuracy with an absolute error under one minute using six points within five minutes. This work shows that using readily available input data at charge time enables accurate prediction of charging behaviour and offers a practical, scalable solution for deployment, energy planning, and infrastructure reliability.