Age- and sex-adjusted performance of a colorectal cancer screening test using US census distribution.

Shaukat, Aasma; Meng, Zhen; Kutnik, Karolina; Sun, Chung-Kai; Edwards V, David K; Piscitello, Andy; Deciu, Cosmin; Lee, Lilian C et al. · J Natl Cancer Inst · 2026

prospective_cohort · Level II

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Abstract

The performance of a CRC screening blood test was validated in a prospective, multicenter, observational study (PREEMPT CRC). The composition of the clinical study population can impact performance measures, potentially affecting the generalizability of the observed outcomes. We conducted a prespecified post-stratification adjustment analysis in which PREEMPT CRC performance values were adjusted to US Census age and sex distribution. The PREEMPT CRC evaluable cohort had a higher proportion of younger individuals and females than the census population. Compared to observed values, census adjustment demonstrated nominally higher CRC sensitivity (81.1% [95% confidence interval or CI, 71.3-88.1%] vs 79.2% [95% CI, 68.4-86.9%]) and advanced precancerous lesion sensitivity (13.7% [95% CI, 12.4-15.0%] vs 12.5% [95% CI, 11.3-13.8%]), with lower advanced colorectal neoplasia specificity (90.4% [95% CI, 90.0-90.7%) vs 91.5% [95% CI, 91.2-91.9%]). Negative and positive predictive values were consistent across age groups, highlighting consistent clinical interpretability of test results regardless of patient age.