Model-based cost-effectiveness analysis of first-line pharmacotherapy combinations in adults with chronic heart failure and reduced ejection fraction.

Abstract

Pharmacotherapy combinations have been shown to improve survival and reduce hospitalisations in adults with chronic heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF); however, their cost-effectiveness when used as first-line treatment remains uncertain. A lifetime cohort Markov model was developed from the perspective of the NHS in England to assess the cost-effectiveness of five first-line pharmacotherapy combinations: (i) angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitor (ACEI) or angiotensin receptor blocker (ARB) and beta-blocker (BB) (NICE-recommended treatment at the time of analysis); (ii) ACEI/ARB, BB and mineralocorticoid receptor antagonists (MRA); (iii) angiotensin receptor-neprilysin inhibitor (ARNI), BB and MRA; (iv) ACEI/ARB, BB, MRA and sodium-glucose cotransporter-2 inhibitor (SGLT2i); and (v) ARNI, BB, MRA and SGLT2i. Baseline hospitalisation and mortality rates were informed by real-world data, while treatment effects (HRs) were derived from a review of randomised controlled trials. Among individuals able to tolerate an ACEI, the combination of ACEI, BB, MRA and SGLT2i (cost, £12 124; quality-adjusted life years (QALYs), 5.72) was found to be the most cost-effective first-line treatment option with an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) of £7699.Among individuals unable to tolerate an ACEI, the combination of ARNI, BB, MRA and SGLT2i (cost, £18 950; QALYs, 6.04) was found to be the most cost-effective first-line treatment option with an ICER of £15 821. The next most cost-effective first-line treatment option was the combination of ARB, BB, MRA and SGLT2i (cost, £11 842; QALYs, 5.59). These findings were primarily driven by the greater relative QALY gain of ARNI compared with ARB. This study demonstrates that a first-line quadruple pharmacotherapy combination is cost-effective compared with a stepwise approach for treating people with HFrEF, suggesting that wider adoption of early initiation of quadruple pharmacotherapy may improve health outcomes and optimise healthcare resource use.