Forest fires: An example of self-organized critical behavior.

Malamud, BD; Morein, G; Turcotte, DL · Science · 1998

basic_science · Level V

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Abstract

Despite the many complexities concerning their initiation and propagation, forest fires exhibit power-law frequency-area statistics over many orders of magnitude. A simple forest fire model, which is an example of self-organized criticality, exhibits similar behavior. One practical implication of this result is that the frequency-area distribution of small and medium fires can be used to quantify the risk of large fires, as is routinely done for earthquakes.