Proinflammatory cytokines in early assessment of the prognosis of acute pancreatitis.

Abstract

Proinflammatory cytokines are involved in the pathogenesis of acute pancreatitis. The value of serum levels of tumor necrosis factor-alpha, interleukin-1-beta, interleukin-6, and interleukin-8 in predicting the outcome of acute pancreatitis was evaluated. In 50 patients with acute pancreatitis, the serum concentrations of tumor necrosis factor-alpha, interleukin-1-beta, interleukin-6, interleukin-8, and C-reactive protein were determined on days 1, 2, 3, 4, and 7 after admission. Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation (APACHE II) scores were recorded on days 1, 2, and 3. Serum concentrations of interleukin-1-beta, interleukin-6, interleukin-8, and C-reactive protein on days 1-7 were significantly higher in patients with severe pancreatitis than in patients with mild pancreatitis. Patients with severe attacks had significantly elevated serum tumor necrosis factor-alpha concentrations on days 1-3 compared with those with mild attacks, but not on days 4 and 7. The median peak value of tumor necrosis factor-alpha, interleukin-1-beta, interleukin-6, and interleukin-8 was reached on day 1, in contrast to the median peak of C-reactive protein, which was reached on day 2. Using cutoff levels of 12 pg/ml for tumor necrosis factor-alpha, 1 pg/ml for interleukin-1-beta, 400 pg/ml for interleukin-6, 100 pg/ml for interleukin-8, 12 mg/dl for C-reactive protein, and 10 for the Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation (APACHE II) score, the accuracy rates for detecting severe pancreatitis were 72%, 82%, 88%, 74%, 80%, and 72%, respectively, on day 1 and 78%, 74%, 80%, 76%, 80%, and 78%, respectively, on day 2. Among the proinflammatory cytokines, interleukin-6 is the most useful parameter for early prediction of the prognosis of acute pancreatitis.